Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on every other scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Several the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after the other (if it is precisely what your problem is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately 5.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the particular 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.
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